Monday, September 7, 2015

Donald Trump leads with more than triple nearest competitor, latest YouGov national poll, 8/28-9/1/15 (F-Tu). Hispanic vote: Bush 15%, Trump 28%. Black vote: Carson Zero. Trump 39%

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9/6/15, "Trump's lead in the Republican presidential race has continued to grow," Kathy Frankovic, today.yougov.com

"Trump has expanded his lead among registered voters who call themselves Republicans, and for many in the latest Economist/YouGov Poll he has become not just a credible candidate, but a possible general election winner."...
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Economist/YouGov Poll, 8/28-9/1/15 (F-Tu). Asked of registered voters who identified as Republican:

p. 41: Preferred Republican nominee for president:

Trump 36
Carson 11
Bush 8
Rubio 7
Cruz 6
Walker 6
Huckabee 4
Kasich 4
Paul 4

p. 41, Trump voters by race: 28% Hispanic, 39% Black, 36% white, 43% other 

Bush voters by race: 15% Hispanic, 15% Black, 8% white, 6% other

Carson voters by race: 3% Hispanic, 0% Black, 12% white, 16% other 

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p. 42, Trump approval across all 4 US regions:

Northeast 30% 
Midwest 27% 
South 43% 
West 36%


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p. 42, Trump appeals across ideologies, while Bush only appeals to liberals:

Bush 

Liberal 27
Moderate 9
Conservative 8

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Trump

Liberal 16
Moderate 35
Conservative 36

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Enthusiasm:

p. 45, #39. How would you feel if your first choice was the 2016 Republican Presidential nominee?
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"Enthusiastic"

White 81%
Black 52% 
Hispanic 87%
Other 61%

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p.64, question 57, Facing the Democrat nominee, Trump:

Could possibly win: 52%


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p. 153: Poll sponsored by The Economist. 2000 internet interviews, 2.8 margin of error. "Respondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-in Internet panel using sample matching. A random sample (stratified by age, gender, race, education, and region) was selected from the 2010 American Community Study. Voter registration was imputed from the November 2010 Current Population Survey Registration and Voting Supplement. Religion, political interest, minor party identification, and non-placement on an ideology scale, were imputed from the 2008 Pew Religion in American Life Survey." 



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