Friday, October 16, 2015

Ipsos Reuters national poll, Trump 33, fourteen points ahead of Republican field, Oct. 10-14, 2015

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Trump 33
Carson 19
Bush 11
Rubio 8
Cruz 4
Paul 4 
Christie 3
Fiorina 3
Huckabee 3
Kasich 2
Gilmore 1
Graham 1
Santorum 1

Poll dates, 10/10-10/14/15, online poll, 492 Republicans, 5.0 credibility interval 

10/15/15, "Ipsos/Reuters poll (October 15): Core Political Approval

Topline Results:

p. 7, Republicans

Republican Presidential Primaries

If primaries were held today, for whom would you vote?

Trump 33
Carson 19
Bush 11
Rubio 8
Fiorina 3
Paul 4
Cruz 4
Huckabee 3
Christie 3
Kasich 2
Gilmore 1
Santorum 1
Graham 1

p. 7, Independents, 180 sample, 8.3 credibility interval

Trump 19
Carson 12
Christie 7
Huckabee 6
Bush 5
Fiorina 5
Paul 5
Rubio 3
Kasich 2
.....................

p. 8, If these three were your only choices, for whom would you vote?

Republicans, 492 sample

Trump 39
Carson 34
Bush 20

Independents, 180 sample

Trump 28
Carson 24
Bush 17

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"These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters October 10-14, 2015. For the survey, a sample of 1,348 Americans, including 530 Democrats, 492 Republicans, and 180 Independents ages 18+ were interviewed online. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.0 percentage points for all adults, 4.9 percentage points for Democrats, 5.0 percentage points for Republicans, and 8.3 percentage points for Independents. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix.

The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. To see more information on this and other Reuters/Ipsos polls, please visit http://polling.reuters.com/."


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Added: I clicked the link http://polling.reuters.com/. It went to a page with several headlines, one of which was, "Trump's support stays firm.










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